The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

Archive
- 5/3/2024 -
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S&P 500 (^GSPC) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend resistance line
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved above its signal linePrice is close to the 50 Day Moving Average
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It was a second positive week after 3 consecutive negative weeks for the S&P 500 (^GSPC). During the week, the ^GSPC climbed 27.83 points, or 0.55%, and closed at 5127.79 on Friday, May 3, 2024. ^GSPC was trading at average weekly trading volume.

Long-term trend: [See ^GSPC long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 13, 2022 at 3491.58 and reached 5264.85 on March 28, 2024. ^GSPC gained -1773.27 points, or -50.79%, in 76 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 4311.59 and resistance is at 5249.67. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See ^GSPC medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on March 28, 2024 at 5264.85 and reached 4953.56 on April 19, 2024. ^GSPC lost 311.29 points, or 5.91%, in 3 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (5021.58) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See ^GSPC weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since April 12, 2024. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See ^GSPC short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on April 19, 2024 at 4953.56 and reached 5139.12 on May 3, 2024. ^GSPC gained -185.56 points, or -3.75%, in 14 days. The price is now at the 6.11% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See ^GSPC daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

Price is close to the 50 Day Moving Average. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 56.64
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 37.60
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 67.21
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 62.08
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -21.41
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 63.26
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 21.20
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 52.19
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 61.53
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 179.22
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 5249.67
Upper Bollinger Band 5223.76
50 Day Moving Average 5129.98
Price 5127.79
Weekly Trendline Resistance 5117.29
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 5090.41
20 Day Moving Average 5083.63
Daily Stochastic Crossing 5079.84
Parabolic System 5022.01
Weekly Trendline Support 5021.58
Lower Bollinger Band 4952.36
Quarterly Trendline Support 4311.59
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 4953.56
Low Date 04/19/2024
High 5139.12
High Date 05/03/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 5117.29
Support 5021.58
High 5264.85
High Date 03/28/2024
Low 4953.56
Low Date 04/19/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 4103.78
Low Date 10/27/2023
High 5264.85
High Date 03/28/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 5249.67
Support 4311.59
Low 3491.58
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 5264.85
High Date 03/28/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 666.79
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 5264.85
High Date 03/28/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.